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Red116
245729.1
580146.5
176324.1
Blue64
181033.9
526815.4
198425.6
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8172406010012011664

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.51.6
38.440.0
Auto9.6
Teleop27.9
End9.0
red by 12.6
1810
#14
33.90.3
30.330.1
Auto10.5
Teleop15.1
End8.3
Second
2457
#22
29.11.6
20.622.2
Auto7.0
Teleop13.3
End8.9
red by 3.6
1984
#31
25.60.5
20.219.7
Auto7.9
Teleop11.0
End6.7
Third
1763
#21
24.11.6
15.917.5
Auto6.8
Teleop11.0
End6.2
red by 8.7
5268
#36
15.40.3
17.817.5
Auto3.5
Teleop8.3
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
8%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
50%Activation oddsEarned62%Activation oddsMissed