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Red122
580146.5
180232.6
591824.4
Blue91
580932.2
588940.7
235925.3
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions919440608010012014016012291

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.52.1
40.542.5
Auto9.6
Teleop27.9
End9.0
red by 5.9
40.70.2
36.636.8
Auto10.0
Teleop25.1
End5.6
Second
1802
#13
32.63.4
27.130.6
Auto6.5
Teleop18.4
End7.6
red by 0.4
5809
#20
32.20.2
28.829.0
Auto5.1
Teleop21.1
End6.0
Third
5918
#18
24.42.1
18.420.4
Auto6.1
Teleop12.0
End6.3
blue by 0.9
2359
#12
25.30.2
22.322.5
Auto7.4
Teleop9.0
End8.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
17%Sustainability oddsEarned13%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
60%Activation oddsEarned37%Activation oddsEarned