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Red103
271818.7
181033.9
425644.2
Blue80
509826.9
198233.1
110835.0
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1079505015020010380

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.20.3
43.443.7
Auto11.2
Teleop25.3
End7.7
red by 9.3
1108
#16
35.01.0
34.033.0
Auto5.5
Teleop24.3
End5.2
Second
1810
#14
33.90.3
31.631.9
Auto10.5
Teleop15.1
End8.3
red by 0.8
33.11.0
29.528.5
Auto11.8
Teleop14.8
End6.5
Third
2718
#24
18.70.3
23.623.9
Auto5.9
Teleop8.7
End4.1
blue by 8.1
5098
#25
26.91.0
27.226.1
Auto9.4
Teleop12.3
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
9%Sustainability oddsEarned12%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
79%Activation oddsMissed71%Activation oddsMissed