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Red40
93714.2
526815.4
176417.3
Blue123
198233.1
198425.6
756341.0
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions43101020608012014040123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1764
#30
17.30.8
18.517.7
Auto5.4
Teleop8.2
End3.7
blue by 23.7
41.02.0
35.737.7
Auto11.4
Teleop21.4
End8.2
Second
5268
#36
15.40.8
15.614.8
Auto3.5
Teleop8.3
End3.6
blue by 17.7
33.12.0
28.830.8
Auto11.8
Teleop14.8
End6.5
Third
937
#28
14.21.2
13.212.0
Auto5.0
Teleop7.1
End2.1
blue by 11.4
1984
#31
25.62.9
23.025.9
Auto7.9
Teleop11.0
End6.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed11%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
28%Activation oddsMissed68%Activation oddsEarned