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Red89
181033.9
684312.1
580146.5
Blue123
512630.4
591824.4
421347.1
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8999608012014089123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.50.1
41.641.6
Auto9.6
Teleop27.9
End9.0
blue by 0.6
47.11.7
44.045.7
Auto14.3
Teleop22.6
End10.2
Second
1810
#14
33.90.1
32.932.9
Auto10.5
Teleop15.1
End8.3
red by 3.5
5126
#17
30.41.7
26.228.0
Auto10.2
Teleop16.1
End4.1
Third
6843
#33
12.10.1
10.410.3
Auto5.8
Teleop2.3
End4.0
blue by 12.3
5918
#18
24.41.7
21.623.4
Auto6.1
Teleop12.0
End6.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
9%Sustainability oddsMissed37%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
57%Activation oddsEarned61%Activation oddsEarned