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Red117
110835.0
176324.1
178544.2
Blue110
181033.9
588940.7
509826.9
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions108107102104106110112114116117110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.20.4
43.443.8
Auto9.9
Teleop23.7
End10.6
red by 3.5
40.70.2
40.540.7
Auto10.0
Teleop25.1
End5.6
Second
1108
#16
35.00.4
34.234.6
Auto5.5
Teleop24.3
End5.2
red by 1.1
1810
#14
33.90.2
33.733.9
Auto10.5
Teleop15.1
End8.3
Third
1763
#21
24.10.4
23.323.7
Auto6.8
Teleop11.0
End6.2
blue by 2.8
5098
#25
26.90.2
26.726.9
Auto9.4
Teleop12.3
End5.3