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Red124
245729.1
580146.5
180232.6
Blue117
182536.0
176931.4
580932.2
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1081046080120140160124117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.50.5
44.144.6
Auto9.6
Teleop27.9
End9.0
red by 10.5
1825
#10
36.00.4
35.636.0
Auto11.4
Teleop17.4
End7.2
Second
1802
#13
32.60.5
30.130.6
Auto6.5
Teleop18.4
End7.6
red by 0.4
5809
#20
32.20.4
31.832.2
Auto5.1
Teleop21.1
End6.0
Third
2457
#22
29.10.5
26.727.2
Auto7.0
Teleop13.3
End8.9
blue by 2.3
1769
#15
31.40.4
31.031.4
Auto11.1
Teleop13.6
End6.8