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Red119
110835.0
176324.1
178544.2
Blue140
180232.6
580146.5
245729.1
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10910990100120130140119140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.20.4
43.844.2
Auto9.9
Teleop23.7
End10.6
blue by 2.4
46.50.7
44.645.3
Auto9.6
Teleop27.9
End9.0
Second
1108
#16
35.00.4
34.635.0
Auto5.5
Teleop24.3
End5.2
red by 2.4
1802
#13
32.60.7
30.631.4
Auto6.5
Teleop18.4
End7.6
Third
1763
#21
24.10.4
23.724.1
Auto6.8
Teleop11.0
End6.2
blue by 5.1
2457
#22
29.10.7
27.227.9
Auto7.0
Teleop13.3
End8.9