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Red108
184717.1
171040.1
425644.2
Blue123
180232.6
580146.5
245729.1
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10811280100120140160108123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.20.1
44.344.2
Auto11.2
Teleop25.3
End7.7
blue by 2.3
46.50.4
45.345.8
Auto9.6
Teleop27.9
End9.0
Second
40.10.1
40.140.1
Auto9.2
Teleop24.4
End6.4
red by 7.5
1802
#13
32.60.4
31.431.8
Auto6.5
Teleop18.4
End7.6
Third
1847
#34
17.10.1
17.117.1
Auto3.7
Teleop6.4
End6.9
blue by 12.1
2457
#22
29.10.4
27.928.4
Auto7.0
Teleop13.3
End8.9