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Red134
235925.3
198765.6
421347.1
Blue56
512630.4
931627.2
176417.3
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1577105010020013456

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
65.60.1
65.265.1
Auto17.4
Teleop40.1
End8.1
red by 35.2
5126
#17
30.40.6
31.230.6
Auto10.2
Teleop16.1
End4.1
Second
47.10.1
46.746.7
Auto14.3
Teleop22.6
End10.2
red by 19.9
9316
#11
27.20.6
28.127.5
Auto6.0
Teleop12.4
End8.9
Third
2359
#12
25.30.1
24.824.8
Auto7.4
Teleop9.0
End8.8
red by 7.9
1764
#30
17.30.6
18.217.6
Auto5.4
Teleop8.2
End3.7