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Red118
110835.0
176324.1
178544.2
Blue95
198233.1
756341.0
908520.3
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10910040608012014016018011895

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.20.3
43.443.7
Auto9.9
Teleop23.7
End10.6
red by 3.1
41.00.2
41.341.1
Auto11.4
Teleop21.4
End8.2
Second
1108
#16
35.00.3
34.234.5
Auto5.5
Teleop24.3
End5.2
red by 1.9
33.10.2
33.433.1
Auto11.8
Teleop14.8
End6.5
Third
1763
#21
24.10.3
23.323.6
Auto6.8
Teleop11.0
End6.2
red by 3.8
9085
#26
20.30.2
20.520.3
Auto8.0
Teleop8.6
End3.6