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Red69
512630.4
931627.2
176417.3
Blue119
181033.9
588940.7
509826.9
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7611105010015069119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5126
#17
30.40.3
30.630.4
Auto10.2
Teleop16.1
End4.1
blue by 10.3
40.70.3
40.240.5
Auto10.0
Teleop25.1
End5.6
Second
9316
#11
27.20.3
27.527.2
Auto6.0
Teleop12.4
End8.9
blue by 6.7
1810
#14
33.90.3
33.433.7
Auto10.5
Teleop15.1
End8.3
Third
1764
#30
17.30.3
17.617.3
Auto5.4
Teleop8.2
End3.7
blue by 9.5
5098
#25
26.90.3
26.426.7
Auto9.4
Teleop12.3
End5.3