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Red153
681720.7
452259.6
170658.9
Blue157
580927.1
318457.9
476647.7
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions149138100120160180200153157

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59.60.2
59.459.6
Auto15.7
Teleop33.3
End10.1
red by 1.6
57.90.4
57.657.9
Auto15.7
Teleop33.2
End8.3
Second
58.90.2
58.758.9
Auto16.1
Teleop35.4
End7.2
red by 11.2
47.70.4
47.347.7
Auto13.1
Teleop25.7
End8.8
Third
6817
#24
20.70.2
20.520.7
Auto7.9
Teleop8.3
End4.6
blue by 6.3
5809
#14
27.10.4
26.727.1
Auto4.6
Teleop16.0
End6.5