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Red144
681720.7
452259.6
170658.9
Blue158
580927.1
318457.9
476647.7
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions149137100120160180200144158

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59.60.0
59.359.4
Auto15.7
Teleop33.3
End10.1
red by 1.6
57.90.2
57.457.6
Auto15.7
Teleop33.2
End8.3
Second
58.90.0
58.758.7
Auto16.1
Teleop35.4
End7.2
red by 11.2
47.70.2
47.147.3
Auto13.1
Teleop25.7
End8.8
Third
6817
#24
20.70.0
20.520.5
Auto7.9
Teleop8.3
End4.6
blue by 6.3
5809
#14
27.10.2
26.526.7
Auto4.6
Teleop16.0
End6.5