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Red150
681720.7
452259.6
170658.9
Blue140
580927.1
318457.9
476647.7
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions150136100120160180200150140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59.60.1
59.459.3
Auto15.7
Teleop33.3
End10.1
red by 1.6
57.90.2
57.257.4
Auto15.7
Teleop33.2
End8.3
Second
58.90.1
58.758.7
Auto16.1
Teleop35.4
End7.2
red by 11.2
47.70.2
46.947.1
Auto13.1
Teleop25.7
End8.8
Third
6817
#24
20.70.1
20.620.5
Auto7.9
Teleop8.3
End4.6
blue by 6.3
5809
#14
27.10.2
26.326.5
Auto4.6
Teleop16.0
End6.5