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Red139
476647.7
318457.9
580927.1
Blue49
306142.9
199722.2
193940.9
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions141114608010016018020022013949

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.90.2
57.057.2
Auto15.7
Teleop33.2
End8.3
red by 15.1
42.91.5
44.342.9
Auto11.9
Teleop22.1
End8.9
Second
47.70.2
46.746.9
Auto13.1
Teleop25.7
End8.8
red by 6.7
40.91.5
42.440.9
Auto7.2
Teleop26.2
End7.5
Third
5809
#14
27.10.2
26.126.3
Auto4.6
Teleop16.0
End6.5
red by 4.9
1997
#21
22.21.5
23.722.2
Auto2.1
Teleop13.2
End6.9