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Red107
193940.9
591815.2
452259.6
Blue75
198637.5
328421.3
172317.5
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1126405010015020010775

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59.60.5
49.850.4
Auto15.7
Teleop33.3
End10.1
red by 22.0
37.51.0
33.134.0
Auto11.4
Teleop18.2
End7.8
Second
40.90.5
32.433.0
Auto7.2
Teleop26.2
End7.5
red by 19.7
3284
#20
21.30.6
23.724.2
Auto3.0
Teleop12.7
End5.6
Third
5918
#23
15.20.9
16.617.5
Auto3.6
Teleop6.0
End5.6
blue by 2.3
1723
#25
17.50.6
9.610.2
Auto6.2
Teleop6.9
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
11%Sustainability oddsEarned4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
75%Activation oddsMissed63%Activation oddsEarned