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Red122
418726.5
476647.7
306142.9
Blue75
545440.5
580927.1
199722.2
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1146105010015020012275

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.71.1
40.641.7
Auto13.1
Teleop25.7
End8.8
red by 7.2
5454
#11
40.50.7
27.928.7
Auto9.3
Teleop19.9
End11.3
Second
42.91.2
34.235.4
Auto11.9
Teleop22.1
End8.9
red by 15.8
5809
#14
27.11.2
19.820.9
Auto4.6
Teleop16.0
End6.5
Third
4187
#15
26.51.4
25.426.8
Auto8.3
Teleop11.0
End7.1
red by 4.3
1997
#21
22.20.7
16.617.3
Auto2.1
Teleop13.2
End6.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
25%Sustainability oddsEarned4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
94%Activation oddsEarned53%Activation oddsMissed