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Red114
181027.4
580927.1
318457.9
Blue126
766214.9
170658.9
331332.4
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1108750100150200114126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.90.6
54.154.6
Auto15.7
Teleop33.2
End8.3
blue by 0.9
58.92.4
49.752.1
Auto16.1
Teleop35.4
End7.2
Second
1810
#19
27.41.0
23.124.1
Auto10.2
Teleop9.5
End7.7
blue by 5.0
32.42.4
25.027.4
Auto8.4
Teleop17.6
End6.4
Third
5809
#14
27.11.0
23.224.2
Auto4.6
Teleop16.0
End6.5
red by 12.1
7662
#12
14.92.4
9.712.2
Auto3.7
Teleop4.8
End6.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
32%Sustainability oddsMissed9%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
70%Activation oddsMissed48%Activation oddsEarned