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Red109
639136.0
476647.7
172317.5
Blue83
811221.0
681720.7
193940.9
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions956905015010983

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.71.6
42.844.4
Auto13.1
Teleop25.7
End8.8
red by 6.7
40.91.0
34.135.1
Auto7.2
Teleop26.2
End7.5
Second
6391
#13
36.01.6
32.133.6
Auto13.9
Teleop16.4
End5.3
red by 15.0
8112
#16
21.01.0
15.916.9
Auto3.1
Teleop11.2
End6.7
Third
1723
#25
17.51.6
10.612.2
Auto6.2
Teleop6.9
End4.5
blue by 3.2
6817
#24
20.71.7
18.019.7
Auto7.9
Teleop8.3
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
11%Sustainability oddsMissed6%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
77%Activation oddsEarned21%Activation oddsMissed