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Qual 162023 Central Missouri Regional
Red145
452259.6
681720.7
903127.9
Blue122
476647.7
198637.5
639136.0
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1051286080120140160180145122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4522
#2
59.62.6
52.6→55.2
Auto15.7
Teleop33.3
End10.1
red by 11.9
4766
#7
47.70.5
44.4→43.9
Auto13.1
Teleop25.7
End8.8
Second
9031
#17
27.92.6
28.8→31.4
Auto8.9
Teleop11.0
End8.0
blue by 9.6
1986
#9
37.50.8
38.9→38.2
Auto11.4
Teleop18.2
End7.8
Third
6817
#24
20.74.3
19.7→24.0
Auto7.9
Teleop8.3
End4.6
blue by 15.3
6391
#13
36.00.5
33.6→33.2
Auto13.9
Teleop16.4
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
16%Sustainability oddsEarned14%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
87%Activation oddsEarned89%Activation oddsMissed