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Red104
580927.1
193940.9
445524.1
Blue94
509827.4
172317.5
306142.9
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions888020406010012014016010494

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.91.5
35.136.6
Auto7.2
Teleop26.2
End7.5
blue by 1.9
42.90.9
37.638.4
Auto11.9
Teleop22.1
End8.9
Second
5809
#14
27.12.5
24.226.7
Auto4.6
Teleop16.0
End6.5
blue by 0.3
27.40.9
26.026.9
Auto10.6
Teleop9.1
End7.7
Third
4455
#18
24.12.5
22.124.7
Auto8.8
Teleop8.1
End7.2
red by 6.6
1723
#25
17.50.9
12.213.1
Auto6.2
Teleop6.9
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
12%Sustainability oddsEarned19%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
36%Activation oddsMissed89%Activation oddsMissed