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Qual 252023 Central Missouri Regional
Red118
3114.8
306142.9
318457.9
Blue131
445524.1
172317.5
170658.9
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12297406080140160180118131

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3184
#3
57.90.2
55.7→55.5
Auto15.7
Teleop33.2
End8.3
blue by 0.9
1706
#1
58.90.5
53.4→53.9
Auto16.1
Teleop35.4
End7.2
Second
3061
#5
42.90.2
39.5→39.3
Auto11.9
Teleop22.1
End8.9
red by 18.8
4455
#18
24.10.9
27.5→28.3
Auto8.8
Teleop8.1
End7.2
Third
31
#26
14.80.3
15.8→15.5
Auto5.2
Teleop6.0
End3.6
blue by 2.7
1723
#25
17.50.5
13.2→13.7
Auto6.2
Teleop6.9
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
78%Sustainability oddsMissed20%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
84%Activation oddsEarned58%Activation oddsMissed