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Red102
811221.0
418726.5
198637.5
Blue70
639136.0
591815.2
766214.9
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8963020408010012014010270

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.51.9
36.037.9
Auto11.4
Teleop18.2
End7.8
red by 1.5
6391
#13
36.00.8
33.432.5
Auto13.9
Teleop16.4
End5.3
Second
4187
#15
26.51.1
27.528.7
Auto8.3
Teleop11.0
End7.1
red by 11.3
5918
#23
15.21.4
15.113.8
Auto3.6
Teleop6.0
End5.6
Third
8112
#16
21.01.1
16.517.7
Auto3.1
Teleop11.2
End6.7
red by 6.1
7662
#12
14.90.8
13.712.9
Auto3.7
Teleop4.8
End6.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
13%Sustainability oddsMissed5%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
36%Activation oddsEarned23%Activation oddsMissed