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Red136
331332.4
452259.6
882534.3
Blue94
199722.2
448019.8
476647.7
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions127855010015020013694

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59.61.5
54.756.2
Auto15.7
Teleop33.3
End10.1
red by 11.9
47.70.6
43.443.9
Auto13.1
Teleop25.7
End8.8
Second
8825
#10
34.31.5
31.533.0
Auto11.1
Teleop16.6
End6.5
red by 12.1
1997
#21
22.20.6
19.820.4
Auto2.1
Teleop13.2
End6.9
Third
32.41.5
27.529.0
Auto8.4
Teleop17.6
End6.4
red by 12.7
4480
#22
19.81.0
22.223.2
Auto4.9
Teleop8.6
End6.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
19%Sustainability oddsEarned8%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
79%Activation oddsEarned74%Activation oddsMissed