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Qual 282023 Central Missouri Regional
Red89
681720.7
328421.3
545440.5
Blue91
172317.5
596819.6
318457.9
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions81932040601001201408991

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5454
#11
40.50.4
31.8→32.2
Auto9.3
Teleop19.9
End11.3
blue by 17.5
3184
#3
57.90.0
55.5→55.5
Auto15.7
Teleop33.2
End8.3
Second
3284
#20
21.30.4
24.0→24.4
Auto3.0
Teleop12.7
End5.6
red by 1.7
5968
#27
19.60.0
16.4→16.5
Auto6.4
Teleop7.2
End6.0
Third
6817
#24
20.70.7
22.1→22.8
Auto7.9
Teleop8.3
End4.6
red by 3.2
1723
#25
17.50.0
13.7→13.7
Auto6.2
Teleop6.9
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
5%Sustainability oddsMissed22%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
53%Activation oddsEarned62%Activation oddsEarned