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Red117
448019.8
318457.9
509827.4
Blue75
198637.5
882534.3
766214.9
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions115962040608014016018011775

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.90.8
56.257.0
Auto15.7
Teleop33.2
End8.3
red by 20.4
37.51.5
42.641.1
Auto11.4
Teleop18.2
End7.8
Second
27.40.8
27.127.8
Auto10.6
Teleop9.1
End7.7
blue by 6.9
8825
#10
34.31.2
32.931.7
Auto11.1
Teleop16.6
End6.5
Third
4480
#22
19.81.1
22.523.5
Auto4.9
Teleop8.6
End6.3
red by 4.8
7662
#12
14.91.2
16.915.8
Auto3.7
Teleop4.8
End6.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
24%Sustainability oddsEarned17%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
84%Activation oddsEarned64%Activation oddsMissed