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Red134
903127.9
199722.2
170658.9
Blue66
445524.1
306142.9
811221.0
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1159440608014016018013466

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58.91.6
56.057.6
Auto16.1
Teleop35.4
End7.2
red by 16.0
42.91.7
41.639.9
Auto11.9
Teleop22.1
End8.9
Second
9031
#17
27.91.6
28.129.7
Auto8.9
Teleop11.0
End8.0
red by 3.8
4455
#18
24.12.4
27.425.0
Auto8.8
Teleop8.1
End7.2
Third
1997
#21
22.21.6
20.822.4
Auto2.1
Teleop13.2
End6.9
red by 1.2
8112
#16
21.01.7
22.120.4
Auto3.1
Teleop11.2
End6.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
37%Sustainability oddsEarned28%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
83%Activation oddsEarned78%Activation oddsEarned