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Red133
545440.5
580927.1
306142.9
Blue37
328421.3
681720.7
448019.8
94%Model gave it6%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions113692040608010014016018013337

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.92.2
40.342.5
Auto11.9
Teleop22.1
End8.9
red by 21.6
3284
#20
21.32.9
24.821.9
Auto3.0
Teleop12.7
End5.6
Second
5454
#11
40.52.2
35.537.7
Auto9.3
Teleop19.9
End11.3
red by 19.8
6817
#24
20.73.2
23.320.0
Auto7.9
Teleop8.3
End4.6
Third
5809
#14
27.12.2
24.826.9
Auto4.6
Teleop16.0
End6.5
red by 7.3
4480
#22
19.83.2
22.619.4
Auto4.9
Teleop8.6
End6.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
30%Sustainability oddsEarned6%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
84%Activation oddsEarned60%Activation oddsMissed