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Red86
766214.9
509827.4
198637.5
Blue102
476647.7
331332.4
3114.8
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions83103406012014016086102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.50.3
37.837.5
Auto11.4
Teleop18.2
End7.8
blue by 10.1
47.70.5
47.047.5
Auto13.1
Teleop25.7
End8.8
Second
27.40.3
27.327.0
Auto10.6
Teleop9.1
End7.7
blue by 5.0
32.40.5
31.832.3
Auto8.4
Teleop17.6
End6.4
Third
7662
#12
14.90.3
15.114.8
Auto3.7
Teleop4.8
End6.5
red by 0.1
31
#26
14.80.5
15.015.5
Auto5.2
Teleop6.0
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
12%Sustainability oddsMissed24%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
69%Activation oddsEarned71%Activation oddsMissed