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Red75
596819.6
328421.3
199722.2
Blue116
306142.9
198637.5
580927.1
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions56103015075116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1997
#21
22.21.1
17.318.4
Auto2.1
Teleop13.2
End6.9
blue by 20.7
42.91.4
35.436.8
Auto11.9
Teleop22.1
End8.9
Second
3284
#20
21.31.1
24.225.3
Auto3.0
Teleop12.7
End5.6
blue by 16.3
37.52.3
34.036.3
Auto11.4
Teleop18.2
End7.8
Third
5968
#27
19.61.8
17.018.8
Auto6.4
Teleop7.2
End6.0
blue by 7.5
5809
#14
27.12.3
20.923.2
Auto4.6
Teleop16.0
End6.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed11%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
47%Activation oddsMissed83%Activation oddsEarned