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Red136
591815.2
509827.4
452259.6
Blue115
903127.9
639136.0
445524.1
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10079050150200136115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59.61.5
50.451.9
Auto15.7
Teleop33.3
End10.1
red by 23.5
6391
#13
36.00.7
31.332.1
Auto13.9
Teleop16.4
End5.3
Second
27.41.5
23.324.8
Auto10.6
Teleop9.1
End7.7
blue by 0.5
9031
#17
27.90.7
27.328.1
Auto8.9
Teleop11.0
End8.0
Third
5918
#23
15.22.5
17.520.1
Auto3.6
Teleop6.0
End5.6
blue by 8.9
4455
#18
24.11.2
18.319.5
Auto8.8
Teleop8.1
End7.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
14%Sustainability oddsMissed5%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
76%Activation oddsEarned74%Activation oddsEarned