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Red73
766214.9
811221.0
328421.3
Blue105
639136.0
448019.8
509827.4
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5591020408010012014073105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3284
#20
21.30.4
20.921.3
Auto3.0
Teleop12.7
End5.6
blue by 14.8
6391
#13
36.00.5
35.335.8
Auto13.9
Teleop16.4
End5.3
Second
8112
#16
21.00.4
20.621.0
Auto3.1
Teleop11.2
End6.7
blue by 6.4
27.40.5
26.627.1
Auto10.6
Teleop9.1
End7.7
Third
7662
#12
14.90.4
14.614.9
Auto3.7
Teleop4.8
End6.5
blue by 4.8
4480
#22
19.80.5
19.019.5
Auto4.9
Teleop8.6
End6.3