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Red116
172317.5
181027.4
545440.5
Blue95
198637.5
903127.9
445524.1
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions83985015011695

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5454
#11
40.50.6
38.639.2
Auto9.3
Teleop19.9
End11.3
red by 3.0
37.50.1
37.637.5
Auto11.4
Teleop18.2
End7.8
Second
1810
#19
27.40.6
25.526.1
Auto10.2
Teleop9.5
End7.7
blue by 0.5
9031
#17
27.90.1
28.027.9
Auto8.9
Teleop11.0
End8.0
Third
1723
#25
17.50.6
15.616.2
Auto6.2
Teleop6.9
End4.5
blue by 6.6
4455
#18
24.10.1
24.224.1
Auto8.8
Teleop8.1
End7.2