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Red49
93130.8
711714.7
493112.4
Blue113
414352.5
674431.1
517624.4
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions608920408010012014049113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
931
#11
30.81.2
24.923.6
Auto9.1
Teleop14.2
End7.5
blue by 21.6
52.53.7
39.242.9
Auto12.9
Teleop31.3
End8.3
Second
7117
#28
14.71.2
17.316.1
Auto6.0
Teleop2.8
End5.9
blue by 16.4
6744
#14
31.13.7
20.123.9
Auto6.8
Teleop17.7
End6.6
Third
4931
#43
12.41.2
17.816.6
Auto6.1
Teleop5.2
End1.1
blue by 12.0
5176
#15
24.43.7
20.223.9
Auto6.9
Teleop9.2
End8.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
10%Sustainability oddsMissed7%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
19%Activation oddsMissed72%Activation oddsEarned