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Red112
175653.2
425634.9
198221.5
Blue123
128821.3
170648.8
450032.3
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions102926080120140112123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.21.4
41.743.2
Auto12.8
Teleop33.1
End7.2
red by 4.4
48.83.9
37.241.1
Auto13.1
Teleop28.5
End7.2
Second
34.91.4
28.830.2
Auto9.4
Teleop19.3
End6.3
red by 2.6
32.33.9
30.434.3
Auto8.8
Teleop17.5
End6.0
Third
1982
#24
21.51.4
23.525.0
Auto8.5
Teleop8.5
End4.5
red by 0.2
1288
#27
21.33.9
19.923.8
Auto4.8
Teleop11.7
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
7%Sustainability oddsEarned10%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
69%Activation oddsMissed75%Activation oddsEarned