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Red128
517624.4
175653.2
220246.5
Blue151
170648.8
414352.5
682326.1
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions130132100110120140150160170128151

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.20.1
52.652.8
Auto12.8
Teleop33.1
End7.2
red by 0.7
52.50.3
50.951.2
Auto12.9
Teleop31.3
End8.3
Second
46.50.1
45.946.1
Auto14.2
Teleop22.1
End10.1
blue by 2.3
48.80.3
47.247.5
Auto13.1
Teleop28.5
End7.2
Third
5176
#15
24.40.1
23.924.1
Auto6.9
Teleop9.2
End8.4
blue by 1.7
6823
#17
26.10.3
25.625.9
Auto6.1
Teleop12.1
End7.9