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Red72
639129.8
774725.2
433034.0
Blue91
120821.9
96731.8
674431.1
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions97904060801201401607291

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4330
#18
34.00.5
34.434.0
Auto13.7
Teleop13.9
End6.5
red by 2.2
967
#10
31.80.0
32.232.2
Auto8.5
Teleop18.9
End4.4
Second
6391
#20
29.80.5
30.229.8
Auto9.3
Teleop15.3
End5.2
blue by 1.3
6744
#14
31.10.0
31.531.5
Auto6.8
Teleop17.7
End6.6
Third
25.20.5
25.625.2
Auto5.9
Teleop14.3
End5.0
red by 3.3
1208
#22
21.90.0
21.821.9
Auto7.3
Teleop7.7
End6.8