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Red136
517624.4
175653.2
220246.5
Blue66
128821.3
93130.8
117825.5
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions138775010015020013666

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.20.2
52.452.6
Auto12.8
Teleop33.1
End7.2
red by 22.4
931
#11
30.80.3
31.531.2
Auto9.1
Teleop14.2
End7.5
Second
46.50.2
45.745.9
Auto14.2
Teleop22.1
End10.1
red by 20.9
1178
#13
25.50.3
26.225.9
Auto6.6
Teleop13.0
End5.9
Third
5176
#15
24.40.2
23.723.9
Auto6.9
Teleop9.2
End8.4
red by 3.1
1288
#27
21.30.3
22.021.7
Auto4.8
Teleop11.7
End4.8