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Red80
125925.1
450032.3
70636.1
Blue114
206226.1
425634.9
432935.8
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10010540608012014016080114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
706
#5
36.10.3
36.335.9
Auto9.9
Teleop21.7
End4.4
red by 0.2
4329
#16
35.80.3
36.236.5
Auto12.2
Teleop16.4
End7.2
Second
32.30.3
32.532.2
Auto8.8
Teleop17.5
End6.0
blue by 2.6
34.90.3
35.335.6
Auto9.4
Teleop19.3
End6.3
Third
1259
#21
25.10.3
25.324.9
Auto7.2
Teleop10.9
End6.9
blue by 1.1
2062
#25
26.10.3
26.526.8
Auto4.9
Teleop14.3
End6.9