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Red175
22241.9
192360.1
257734.0
Blue137
689737.8
180753.9
108935.4
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13512780100120140160180175137

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1923
#19
60.13.3
55.859.1
Auto12.6
Teleop37.7
End9.8
red by 6.2
1807
#16
53.91.1
52.553.6
Auto11.2
Teleop34.5
End6.9
Second
222
#15
41.93.3
39.843.1
Auto8.1
Teleop27.3
End6.0
red by 4.1
6897
#35
37.81.1
35.836.9
Auto9.0
Teleop23.3
End4.9
Third
2577
#26
34.03.3
30.233.4
Auto7.6
Teleop19.5
End6.9
blue by 1.4
1089
#43
35.41.1
34.535.6
Auto7.9
Teleop19.1
End8.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
57%Sustainability oddsEarned64%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
88%Activation oddsEarned64%Activation oddsEarned