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Red144
48448.2
692130.1
171240.7
Blue129
31654.6
272229.9
811736.9
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions116133050100150200250144129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
484
#24
48.22.2
44.546.7
Auto12.3
Teleop27.8
End7.8
blue by 6.3
316
#12
54.60.4
55.255.6
Auto11.2
Teleop32.8
End10.0
Second
1712
#21
40.72.2
38.841.0
Auto6.4
Teleop25.2
End9.3
red by 3.8
8117
#34
36.90.4
36.937.3
Auto8.4
Teleop19.5
End9.1
Third
6921
#50
30.12.2
28.030.2
Auto7.5
Teleop16.5
End6.3
red by 0.3
2722
#46
29.90.4
30.831.2
Auto8.9
Teleop15.4
End5.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
46%Sustainability oddsEarned57%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
74%Activation oddsEarned93%Activation oddsEarned