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Red107
19333.5
566624.1
22333.8
Blue142
259048.0
10353.8
257734.0
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions84152050100200250107142

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
223
#53
33.81.3
32.533.8
Auto10.2
Teleop17.5
End6.4
blue by 20.0
103
#1
53.80.5
52.953.4
Auto11.1
Teleop35.1
End7.1
Second
193
#40
33.51.3
32.233.5
Auto12.8
Teleop15.0
End5.9
blue by 14.6
48.00.5
48.549.0
Auto12.8
Teleop28.7
End5.4
Third
5666
#56
24.11.3
22.824.1
Auto7.6
Teleop11.4
End5.1
blue by 9.8
2577
#26
34.00.5
33.434.0
Auto7.6
Teleop19.5
End6.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
23%Sustainability oddsEarned78%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
69%Activation oddsEarned76%Activation oddsMissed