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Red162
10353.8
272040.1
34162.4
Blue163
140354.8
1153.1
167650.9
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions162160140150170180162163

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
341
#4
62.40.2
62.062.3
Auto13.7
Teleop36.8
End10.4
red by 7.6
1403
#11
54.80.3
53.754.0
Auto10.4
Teleop32.9
End10.0
Second
103
#1
53.80.2
53.453.7
Auto11.1
Teleop35.1
End7.1
red by 0.7
11
#14
53.10.3
52.052.3
Auto16.4
Teleop27.9
End8.0
Third
2720
#30
40.10.2
39.940.1
Auto10.4
Teleop22.4
End7.4
blue by 10.8
1676
#25
50.90.3
49.850.1
Auto13.5
Teleop29.5
End7.0