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Red131
70842.2
180753.9
83452.6
Blue124
259048.0
31654.6
22241.9
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions153151130140160170180131124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1807
#16
53.90.3
54.153.9
Auto11.2
Teleop34.5
End6.9
blue by 0.7
316
#12
54.60.5
55.555.0
Auto11.2
Teleop32.8
End10.0
Second
834
#5
52.60.3
52.852.6
Auto13.3
Teleop30.3
End7.7
red by 4.6
48.00.5
49.048.5
Auto12.8
Teleop28.7
End5.4
Third
708
#33
42.20.3
42.442.1
Auto10.8
Teleop22.4
End8.6
red by 0.3
222
#15
41.90.5
42.942.3
Auto8.1
Teleop27.3
End6.0