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Red159
331460.5
589562.1
314241.5
Blue157
121851.5
434249.5
164043.5
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions177144100200250159157

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5895
#10
62.10.1
61.261.1
Auto15.3
Teleop38.7
End7.4
red by 10.6
1218
#13
51.50.4
51.351.7
Auto15.1
Teleop27.9
End7.6
Second
60.50.1
59.659.6
Auto13.1
Teleop38.7
End8.8
red by 11.0
49.50.4
49.349.7
Auto12.2
Teleop30.1
End6.7
Third
3142
#22
41.50.1
40.540.5
Auto10.3
Teleop22.4
End9.0
blue by 2.0
1640
#41
43.50.4
43.343.7
Auto13.6
Teleop23.3
End6.2