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Red176
48448.2
192360.1
253965.1
Blue169
139161.2
2553.6
437353.0
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions184171140160200220240176169

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
65.10.3
64.464.1
Auto15.5
Teleop39.2
End9.7
red by 3.9
61.20.2
61.361.5
Auto16.3
Teleop32.8
End11.1
Second
1923
#19
60.10.3
59.459.1
Auto12.6
Teleop37.7
End9.8
red by 6.4
25
#8
53.60.2
53.853.9
Auto11.4
Teleop33.1
End8.3
Third
484
#24
48.20.3
47.647.3
Auto12.3
Teleop27.8
End7.8
blue by 4.7
4373
#23
53.00.2
53.153.3
Auto17.4
Teleop27.4
End7.6