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Red106
218029.2
43327.7
36540.6
Blue134
901537.5
909433.6
31654.6
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions77121050100150200106134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
365
#55
40.61.2
36.037.1
Auto12.1
Teleop23.9
End4.7
blue by 13.9
316
#12
54.61.7
52.854.5
Auto11.2
Teleop32.8
End10.0
Second
2180
#44
29.21.2
20.021.2
Auto9.3
Teleop11.7
End8.3
blue by 8.3
9015
#28
37.51.7
29.631.3
Auto11.6
Teleop18.8
End7.2
Third
433
#49
27.71.2
22.223.4
Auto7.8
Teleop13.1
End6.9
blue by 6.0
9094
#31
33.61.7
25.727.4
Auto10.2
Teleop17.6
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
20%Sustainability oddsMissed45%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
52%Activation oddsEarned82%Activation oddsEarned