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Red142
140354.8
20342.2
192360.1
Blue123
167650.9
55535.2
457332.6
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15310050200142123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1923
#19
60.10.4
52.252.5
Auto12.6
Teleop37.7
End9.8
red by 9.2
1676
#25
50.91.2
50.151.3
Auto13.5
Teleop29.5
End7.0
Second
1403
#11
54.80.4
48.849.1
Auto10.4
Teleop32.9
End10.0
red by 19.6
555
#32
35.21.2
23.224.4
Auto10.2
Teleop16.6
End8.5
Third
203
#27
42.20.4
35.535.9
Auto12.2
Teleop23.4
End6.8
red by 9.6
4573
#45
32.61.2
26.928.1
Auto8.9
Teleop18.3
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
78%Sustainability oddsEarned46%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
93%Activation oddsEarned38%Activation oddsEarned