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Red127
218029.2
192360.1
540126.3
Blue138
180753.9
436139.1
36540.6
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10214550200250127138

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1923
#19
60.11.4
52.554.0
Auto12.6
Teleop37.7
End9.8
red by 6.2
1807
#16
53.90.5
57.257.7
Auto11.2
Teleop34.5
End6.9
Second
2180
#44
29.21.4
21.222.6
Auto9.3
Teleop11.7
End8.3
blue by 11.4
365
#55
40.60.5
37.137.6
Auto12.1
Teleop23.9
End4.7
Third
5401
#59
26.31.4
27.128.5
Auto8.2
Teleop12.4
End6.0
blue by 12.8
4361
#39
39.10.5
38.238.7
Auto13.3
Teleop18.6
End7.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
35%Sustainability oddsEarned48%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
91%Activation oddsEarned85%Activation oddsMissed